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Research / AI’s climate impact: why it’s not the environmental villain you think
ResearchSustainability

AI’s climate impact: why it’s not the environmental villain you think

AI’s overall energy use is minimal on a global and national level despite local spikes according to a research

Daniel Reed
ByDaniel Reed
AI Research, Safety & Ethics Analyst
Daniel Reed currently works as an AI Research, Safety & Ethics Analyst at Aiholics, writing about how changes in artificial intelligence are affecting and will affect...
- AI Research, Safety & Ethics Analyst
Published: December 6, 2025
4 Min Read
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When I first heard discussions linking artificial intelligence to massive environmental harm, I assumed AI was a significant climate menace. You know, all those data centers churning away, consuming enormous amounts of electricity. But I recently came across some research that drastically reshaped my perspective.

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Debunking the AI and climate change myth

According to a new study from researchers at the University of Waterloo and the Georgia Institute of Technology, the notion that AI is a huge driver of global greenhouse gas emissions doesn’t hold up under scrutiny. By analyzing detailed U.S. economic data alongside estimates of AI adoption across industries, the team found that AI’s overall energy consumption, while non-negligible locally, barely registers on national or global scales.

While some places might experience doubled electricity demand locally due to AI data centers, at a larger scale, AI’s energy impact won’t be noticeable.

To put it in perspective, AI’s energy use in the U.S. is roughly equivalent to the entire electricity consumption of Iceland. Sounds like a lot, right? But when you consider the vastness of the U.S. economy and the global energy picture, it’s surprisingly small. This means that even significant AI growth won’t create the kind of climate havoc many feared.

Local challenges, global opportunities

That doesn’t mean all regions are unaffected. The study highlights that regions hosting data centers could face substantial spikes in electricity demand, potentially doubling output and emissions locally. It’s an important nuance because these local impacts can be significant even if they get lost in national totals.

But here’s what I found exciting: AI might actually be a powerful ally in pushing green innovation further. Far from being just an energy hog, AI can supercharge the development of sustainable technologies and improve the efficiency of existing ones. This flips the narrative from AI as a climate villain to an enabler of environmental and economic progress.

Researchers Juan Moreno-Cruz and Anthony Harding took a detailed approach, examining jobs and economic sectors to estimate how much AI could take over tasks across the economy. Their results suggest that AI’s environmental footprint is much smaller than people imagine, and its role in supporting green tech could be a real game-changer.

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What this means for the future of AI and climate action

This fresh perspective challenges the calls to slow AI adoption solely based on climate concerns. Instead, it suggests that thoughtful AI integration, combined with a focus on sustainable energy sources, can unlock new pathways for tackling climate change.

It also reminds me how important it is to look beyond the headlines. While AI’s demand for power will create localized challenges, we shouldn’t overlook its potential to speed up breakthroughs in solar, wind, energy storage, and more.

As the research team plans to apply their analysis to other countries, it will be interesting to see how AI’s impacts vary globally, especially in places with different energy mixes and infrastructure.

Key takeaways

  • AI’s energy consumption, while significant in certain locations, is minimal at national and global scales.
  • Regions hosting AI data centers may face substantial local increases in electricity demand and emissions.
  • AI offers promising opportunities to accelerate green technology development and enhance sustainability.
  • Fear of AI’s climate impact shouldn’t overshadow its potential environmental benefits.

In the end, AI might not be the climate culprit it’s often portrayed as. Instead, it has the potential to be a crucial tool in the fight against climate change – if we harness it wisely.

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ByDaniel Reed
AI Research, Safety & Ethics Analyst
Daniel Reed currently works as an AI Research, Safety & Ethics Analyst at Aiholics, writing about how changes in artificial intelligence are affecting and will affect scholarship, society, and human civilization. He reports on breakthroughs in AI research, the development of safety frameworks, discussion of long-term risks, and ethical challenges; he also reports on global shifts in policy and governance. Daniel aims to make complex research papers and long-term thinking accessible to the everyday reader without sacrificing nuance. With his thoughtful and analytical style of writing, Daniel translates advanced topics into clear language. He targets questions that really matter: how safe are today's AI systems, what kind of ethical boundaries do we need, and how could exponential progress affect the way education, jobs, governance, and human values are shaped? His articles are often not just expert opinions but also balanced views and insight into emerging debates that define AI's place in the world. Daniel believes responsible AI development begins with awareness, transparency, and informed public conversation. In terms of his work with Aiholics, he encourages readers to look beyond headlines to understand the promise of artificial intelligence but also some of its consequences.
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